Possible Consequences of the INF Treaty Termination
Table of contents
Share
QR
Metrics
Possible Consequences of the INF Treaty Termination
Annotation
PII
S207054760005316-4-
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Viktor Esin 
Occupation: Senior Research Fellow
Affiliation: Institute for the U.S. and Canadian Studies RAS
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Edition
Abstract

The article describes the circumstances that led to the suspension of the participation of the United States and Russia in the INF Treaty, and analyzes the possible consequences of its termination.

Keywords
USA, Russia, the INF Treaty, consequences of the INF Treaty termination
Received
02.04.2019
Date of publication
30.05.2019
Number of purchasers
94
Views
3341
Readers community rating
0.0 (0 votes)
Previous versions
S207054760005316-4-1 Дата внесения правок в статью - 29.05.2019
Cite Download pdf

References

1. Dogovor mezhdu Soyuzom Sovetskikh Sotsialisticheskikh Respublik i Soedinyonnymi Shtatami Ameriki o likvidatsii ikh raket srednej dal'nosti i men'shej dal'nosti. Organizatsiya Ob'edinyonnykh Natsij. Dostup: http://www.un.org/ru/documents/decl_conv/conventions/pdf/treaty.pdf (data obrascheniya: 28.02.2019).

2. V SSSR bylo unichtozheno 809 ballisticheskikh raket srednej dal'nosti (R-12 = 149, R-14 = 6, RSD-10 = 654), 957 ballisticheskikh raket men'shej dal'nosti (OTR-22 = 718, OTR-23 = 239) i 80 krylatykh raket RK-55, a v SShA – 234 ballisticheskie rakety srednej dal'nosti Pershing-2, 169 ballisticheskikh raket men'shej dal'nosti Pershing-1A i 443 krylatye rakety BGM-109G. Antonov A.I. Kontrol' nad vooruzheniyami: istoriya, sostoyanie, perspektivy. M.: ROSSPEhN; PIR-Tsentr, 2012. S. 28.

3. Antonov A.I. Ukaz. soch. S. 27.

4. Ehtot dokument, kotoryj shiroko izvesten kak Lissabonskij protokol, stal neot'emlemoj chast'yu Dogovora o RSMD posle ego ratifikatsii vsemi stranami-podpisantami. Ehtot protsess byl zavershyon v 1994 godu. Sm.: Protokol k Dogovoru mezhdu Soyuzom Sovetskikh Sotsialisticheskikh Respublik i Soedinennymi Shtatami Ameriki o sokraschenii i ogranichenii strategicheskikh nastupatel'nykh vooruzhenij (Lissabonskij protokol). // Yadernoe nerasprostranenie / Pod obsch. red. V.A. Orlova. T. 2. M.: PIR-Tsentr, 2002. S. 113-118.

5. Antonov A.I. Ukaz. soch. S. 29.

6. K 2020 godu analogichnyj protivoraketnyj kompleks Aegis Ashore budet razvernut i v Pol'she // Pentagon rasskazal Senatu SShA o provale s PRO v Pol'she. Vzglyad, 12 aprelya 2018 g. Dostup: https://vz.ru/news/2018/4/12/917235.html (data obrascheniya: 17.04.2018).

7. V podtverzhdenie togo, chto krylataya raketa 9M729 ne narushaet Dogovor o RSMD, rossijskaya storona peredala SShA polnuyu informatsiyu o tom, kogda i na kakuyu dal'nost' provodilis' ispytaniya ehtoj rakety. Sdelat' ehto Rossii smogla posle togo, kogda v kontse 2017 goda stalo izvestno, chto SShA imeyut v vidu imenno krylatuyu raketu 9M729, obvinyaya Rossiyu s 2014 goda v narushenii Dogovora o RSMD. Do ehtogo momenta oni otkazyvalis' konkretizirovat' tip rossijskoj krylatoj rakety, narushayuschej Dogovor o RSMD, ssylayas' na opasenie raskryt' istochnik informatsii. Lavrov: Rossiya provodila ispytaniya rakety 9M729 soglasno trebovaniyam DRSMD. Kommersant, 18 yanvarya 2019 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3858904?utm_source=hot&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsletter (data obrascheniya: 28.02.2019).

8. U.S. Department of Defense. Annual Report to Congress. Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2018. May 2018. Available at: https://media.defense.gov/2018/Aug/16/2001955282/-1/-1/1/2018-china-military-power-report.pdf (accessed: 28.02.2019).

9. Trump says he’s terminating a major nuclear treaty with Russia. ABC News. 22 October 2018. Available at: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-terminating-major-nuclear-treaty-russia/story?id=58661973 (accessed: 28.02.2019).

10. V chastnosti, ehtot fakt podtverdil prezident Rossii Vladimir Putin vo vremya provedennoj 24 oktyabrya 2018 g. press-konferentsii po itogam ego vstrechi s prem'er-ministrom Italii Dzhuzeppe Konti. Otvechaya na vopros odnogo iz predstavitelej SMI po povodu vykhoda SShA iz Dogovora o RSMD, on poyasnil, chto reshenie v SShA o vykhode iz Dogovora o RSMD bylo prinyato znachitel'no ran'she, na dnyakh ob ehtom prosto ob'yavili. / Putin prokommentiroval namereniya SShA vyjti iz DRSMD / RT na russkom, 24.10.2018. Dostup: https://russian.rt.com/world/news/567178-putin-ssha-drsmd (data obrascheniya: 28.02.2019).

11. Moskva gotovit otvety na pretenzii SShA po DRSMD. Kommersant, 28 oktyabrya 2018 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3784977 (data obrascheniya: 30.10.2018).

12. Podrobnee sm. «Tol'ko dve strany v mire svyazany Dogovorom o RSMD, i odna narushaet ego»: sovetnik prezidenta SShA po natsbezopasnosti Dzhon Bolton – o peregovorakh v Moskve. Kommersant, 22 oktyabrya 2018 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3854724 (data obrascheniya: 25.10.2018). Moskva gotovit otvety na pretenzii SShA po DRSMD…

13. Statement on the Treaty on Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces in Europe. European Union External Action, October 22, 2018. Available at: https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/52520/statement-treaty-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-europe_en (accessed: 25.10.2018).

14. Stoltenberg: NATO doesn’t want a new Cold War. AP News, 1 March 2019. Available at: https://apnews.com/6b7bb30e991e4dbf92235934807a4e65 (accessed: 04.03.2019).

15. “Preventing a new arms race” // German Federal Foreign Office. 23 October 2018. Available at: https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/newsroom/news/maas-funke-mediengruppe-inf-treaty/2152660 (accessed: 27.10.2018).

16. MID Frantsii predosteryog ot pospeshnykh shagov v otnoshenii Dogovora o RSMD. TASS, 22.10.2019. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3854724 (data obrascheniya: 10.01.2019).

17. General Assembly Rejects Resolution Calling for Strengthening Russian-United States Compliance with Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. United Nations, 21 December 2018. Available at: https://www.un.org/press/en/2018/ga12116.doc.htm (accessed: 10.01.2019).

18. Press Availability at NATO Headquarters. U.S. State Department, 4 December 2018. Available at: https://www.un.org/press/en/2018/ga12116.doc.htm (accessed: 15.01.2019).

19. Ryabkov: SShA idut na slom Dogovora o RSMD. Kommersant, 15 yanvarya 2019 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3854724 (data obrascheniya: 16.01.2019).

20. «Russkie dolzhny unichtozhit' raketu»: zamgossekretarya SShA Andrea Tompson – o tom, kak spasti Dogovor o RSMD. Kommersant, 17 yanvarya 2019 g., Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3855583 (data obrascheniya: 20.01.2019).

21. V Rossii pokazali inostrantsam sverkhsekretnye rakety dlya «Iskanderov». Moskovskij komsomolets, 23 yanvarya 2019 g. Dostup: https://www.mk.ru/politics/2019/01/23/v-rossii-pokazali-inostrancam-sverkhsekretnye-rakety-dlya-iskanderov.html (data obrascheniya: 25.01.2019).

22. Krylatye rakety 9M728 i 9M729 snaryazhayutsya boevoj chast'yu i zapravlyayutsya toplivom tol'ko v zavodskikh usloviyakh. Massa topliva pri ehtom obespechivaet maksimal'nuyu konstruktivnuyu dal'nost' poleta, ogranichennuyu trebovaniyami Dogovora o RSMD. V vojska ehti rakety postavlyayutsya v spetsial'nykh kontejnerakh, a poehtomu izmenenie massy topliva i ikh dozapravka v vojskovykh usloviyakh nevozmozhny // V Rossii pokazali inostrantsam sverkhsekretnye rakety dlya «Iskanderov»…

23. SShA ne izmenili pozitsii po rakete 9M729 posle eyo demonstratsii. Kommersant, 24 yanvarya 2019 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3861691 (data obrascheniya: 25.01.2019).

24. U.S. Intent to Withdraw from the INF Treaty February 2, 2019. U.S. Department of State, 2 February 2019. Available at: https://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2019/02/288722.htm (accessed: 10.02.1019).

25. Korostikov M., Safronov I. Rakety v svobodnom polyote. Kommersant, 4 fevralya 2019 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3873393 (data obrascheniya: 10.02.2019).

26. Ukaz prezidenta Rossijskoj Federatsii «O priostanovlenii Rossijskoj Federatsiej vypolneniya Dogovora mezhdu Soyuzom Sovetskikh Sotsialisticheskikh Respublik i Soedinennymi Shtatami Ameriki o likvidatsii ikh raket srednej dal'nosti i men'shej dal'nosti». Ofitsial'nyj sajt Prezidenta Rossii, 4 marta 2019 g. Dostup: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/news/59939 (data obrascheniya: 05.03.2019).

27. Rossiya otvetit na vykhod SShA iz DRSMD razrabotkoj novykh raket. Kommersant, 2 fevralya 2019 g. Dostup: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3873206 (data obrascheniya: 10.03.2019).

28. Korostikov M., Safronov I. Ukaz. soch.

Comments

No posts found

Write a review
Translate